Saturday, November 19, 2022

Turkey Day Spey Update 2022

 It tis the weekend before Thanksgiving. This weekend I would be normally excited and ready to go on my Turkey Day Spey adventure. Now, I am excited but looks like New York has the potential to be a no go. 

For example, if you use this link and scroll down to webcams you will see the Conneaut harbor area. First you need to use “guest” as your username and password is “guest “also.  This will give you a clear visual of what’s going on up at the lake.

Another great weather information site is this for the entire state of Ohio is this gem.  

Ohio DOT Cams

As, far as Pennsylvania goes this is the webcam, I look at to get a feel of things.

Elk Creek, PA Cam

Here comes the heartbreaker lol this is the webcams I use for the entire state of New York for the current road conditions. They don’t cover every road, but its enough for anyone to make an informed decision about the road conditions.

NY DOT Cams

Looks like the storm is moving north and hitting between Buffalo and the Niagara Falls Region. I feel my soul shriek in agony because even if they reach 40 degrees for a few days lol the creeks and rivers will most likely be unfishable depending on the rate the snow melts. 

I am still going to my basecamp in Conneaut next Tuesday.  So, here is the weather forecast per weather. Gov

Today

A slight chance of snow showers before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31. Breezy, with a southwest wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tonight

Snow showers, mainly after 9pm. Some thunder is also possible. Widespread blowing snow, mainly between 9pm and 1am. Low around 24. Windy, with a southwest wind 23 to 31 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.

Sunday

Snow showers likely, mainly after noon. Areas of blowing snow. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Windy, with a west wind 23 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sunday Night

A chance of snow showers before 1am. Patchy blowing snow before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Southwest wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Monday

Patchy blowing snow before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 43. Windy, with a south wind 21 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mp

Monday Night

A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10pm, then a slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 44.

Tuesday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 31.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.

Thanksgiving Day

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47.

Thursday Night

A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday

Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 45. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

The things that still concern me is not the additional snow so much as the winds. The winds coupled with the over night lows will create side ice and the strong potential for slush! Lol Now I don’t have to tell a season veteran steelheader that slush is a major pain in the a$$. 

The chance also of this having a rain event will trash everything from Buffalo to Toledo!

Back in my younger days I would fish in these slush flows, but I have since changed my ways. The radial ice that grows on your fly line is brutal. 

A person who is swinging flies like myself will not be able to do so. To get a fish to move to a swung fly is not impossible, but the odds are stacked against you. I will be brining my eggbeater on this journey to double my chances of being able to fish. 

For the fellow weather nerds here are some other weather forecasting websites “I know I have posted these before, but wanted to help others whom might not have seen them before: 

Zoom Earth Weather

Wunderground Weather

Wind Forecast

Jet Stream - CONUS  USA

Great Lakes Water Information

NOAA Weather

Remember folks “cotton kills” and be safe this season.

Be well,

Sonder


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